Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 2.796337 2.944452 3.100385 3.277510 3.474035 3.686473 3.934936
2025-11-23 2.581443 2.791338 3.023675 3.302730 3.632713 4.015715 4.502049
2025-11-30 2.429857 2.680827 2.969624 3.332498 3.785456 4.345948 5.116374
2025-12-07 2.289175 2.563651 2.888890 3.312225 3.864462 4.586272 5.652826
2025-12-14 2.146713 2.429624 2.771960 3.229231 3.845994 4.687737 6.008750
2025-12-21 2.062988 2.359225 2.725225 3.227126 3.928103 4.930606 6.615960
2025-12-28 2.018086 2.332488 2.729372 3.288956 4.100715 5.324860 7.560699
2026-01-04 1.942123 2.260563 2.668381 3.254401 4.127441 5.495788 8.160253
2026-01-11 1.895254 2.222969 2.649342 3.275116 4.236088 5.812305 9.136885
2026-01-18 1.862319 2.201235 2.649295 3.321413 4.387225 6.224995 10.484112
2026-01-25 1.805796 2.144922 2.597886 3.287079 4.403541 6.395917 11.343708
2026-02-01 1.757720 2.097690 2.556307 3.263861 4.434650 6.598628 12.389977
2026-02-08 1.702892 2.041802 2.503541 3.225976 4.447738 6.791303 13.614587
2026-02-15 1.657837 1.997825 2.466019 3.209889 4.498846 7.079117 15.418954
2026-02-22 1.623687 1.967471 2.446497 3.220696 4.599767 7.502845 18.248087
2026-03-01 1.581763 1.924403 2.405984 3.194277 4.628190 7.768452 20.847351
2026-03-08 1.528116 1.862824 2.335272 3.113531 4.544224 7.742034 21.963818
2026-03-15 1.498332 1.834045 2.312149 3.110267 4.610798 8.117367 26.354816
2026-03-22 1.485784 1.829253 2.324609 3.167461 4.805183 8.902646 37.303704
2026-03-29 1.452065 1.792600 2.286647 3.134950 4.809847 9.147424 44.997405
2026-04-05 1.432612 1.775970 2.278693 3.154189 4.927070 9.785495 67.288060
2026-04-12 1.419672 1.768310 2.284147 3.197347 5.102903 10.706290 142.445742
2026-04-19 1.390730 1.736045 2.249441 3.165291 5.103736 11.005753 258.698217